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Cambridge, United Kingdom (UK)
Speaks English

Nigeria analysis from one of the world's top experts

Matthew T. Page is a consultant and co-author of Nigeria: What Everyone Needs to Know (Oxford University Press, 2018). He is a nonresident scholar with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, an associate fellow with the Africa Programme at Chatham House, and nonresident fellow with the Centre for Democracy and Development in Abuja. Until recently, Matthew was the U.S. intelligence community’s top Nigeria expert, serving with the Department of State’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research, the Defense Intelligence Agency, and Marine Corps Intelligence. He also served as deputy national intelligence officer for Africa on the National Intelligence Council.
Questions I can answer:
"What is are the current political and economic risks to international companies seeking to invest in Nigeria?"
"How will the outcome of Nigeria's 2019 elections impact the investment climate in Nigeria?"
"Are Nigeria's monetary and fiscal policies likely to change if its Central Bank Governor is replaced at the end of his term?"
"How independent is Nigeria's judiciary, especially when settling commercial disputes or enforcing arbitration agreements?"
"How effective are Nigerian government efforts to tackle insecurity in country's northeast or ensure the oil-rich Niger Delta region remains stable?"

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace • United States (U.S)

Non-Resident Scholar

2018 - Present (3 years, 9 months)
Conducts research and policy advocacy on corruption, governance, and political issues in Nigeria. Advises and engages on a range of other projects undertaken by the program. Authored A New Taxonomy for Corruption in Nigeria (2018), the most-read research publication in summer 2018 across all of Carnegie’s electronic platforms. Lead author of a forthcoming paper on Nigerian and South African government efforts to promote the development of small and medium-sized enterprises.
Chatham House

Associate Fellow, Africa Programme

2017 - Present (3 years, 11 months)
Advises the Africa Programme on democracy, governance, security, and socioeconomic issues in Nigeria. Conducts research, analysis, and expert review in support of the programme’s day-to-day work and long term projects. Frequently undertakes print, radio, and television interviews on behalf of the programme. Co-authored Countdown to February 2019: A Look Ahead at Nigeria’s Elections (2018), Chatham House’s primer on Nigeria’s upcoming elections.

Independent Consultant and Author

2016 - Present (5 years, 1 month)
Consultant to a range of government, NGO, and private sector clients seeking expert analysis and advice on political, economic, security, and corruption issues in Nigeria. Recently co-authored a book, Nigeria: What Everyone Needs to Know (Oxford University Press, 2018). Writes articles and op-eds, most recently for the Washington Post and Quartz Africa. Frequent public speaker, most recently at the Hay Festival, Johns Hopkins University, the Council on Foreign Relations, and the National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies (Nigeria). Frequent radio and television appearances on BBC News, Voice of America, RFI, among others.
Council on Foreign Relations • United States (U.S)

International Affairs Fellow

2015 - 2016 (1 year, 1 month)
Conducted research and wrote several articles and reports on Nigeria. Advised senior U.S. diplomats and policymakers on a range of political, economic, and security issues affecting Nigeria. Published articles and op-eds in the Washington Post, Financial Times, among others. Authored two significant CFR publications: an Expert Brief on Nigeria’s states and a Policy Memorandum on U.S. Corruption Policy in Nigeria. Co-authored "From Terrorism to Talakawa: Explaining Party Turnover in Nigeria's 2015 Elections" in the Review of African Political Economy journal.
U.S. Department of State • United States (U.S)

Nigeria Analyst, Bureau of Intelligence and Research

2012 - 2016 (3 years, 12 months)
Served as the Department’s subject matter expert on Nigeria. Developed and authored timely, tailored, and objective assessments for senior policymakers as they formulated and implemented U.S. Nigeria policy. Provided day-to-day advice on substantive and intelligence matters to bureaus and offices across the Department and the interagency. Routinely briefed and provided intelligence analysis to senior policymakers at the State Department, White House, among others. Served as an election observer in Nigeria in 2015.

Defense Intelligence Agency • United States (U.S)

Senior Analyst for West Africa

2010 - 2012 (2 years, 5 months)
Served as lead analyst for West Africa. Planned and reviewed the analytic work of five analysts. Served for nine months as Acting Senior Intelligence Officer for the agency’s Africa Division, overseeing the work of 25 analysts. Briefed and advised senior U.S. government policymakers on political, economic, military issues concerning West Africa. Served as sole or primary author of numerous finished all-source intelligence assessments. Widely read throughout the Executive Branch and by key members of Congress, these products included: three articles for the President’s Daily Brief; a 50-page landmark assessment on Nigerian military capabilities; over 30 landmark intelligence assessments.

U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence - National Intelligence Council • United States (U.S)

Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Africa

2008 - 2010 (2 years, 1 month)
Served under the National Intelligence Officer for Africa as deputy for West Africa, overseeing all Intelligence Community analytic efforts relating to the region. Provided direct intelligence support to senior policymakers daily. Prepared intelligence agency leaders for participation in Principals’ and Deputies’ Committee meetings. Authored several high-profile assessments published by the National Intelligence Council, including: Africa: The Top Challenges, a 40-page assessment that served as a key transition document on for Obama administration and a 40-page National Intelligence Estimate.
United States Marine Corps • United States (U.S)

West Africa Analyst

2003 - 2008 (5 years, 1 month)
Served as the United States Marine Corps’ subject matter expert 20 West African countries. Drafted and published policy-relevant analytical assessments on a range of military and political topics.